Sunday, July 15, 2012

LIBOR, Part II

A Response to a FB Friend:

Michael, with respect because I know we are on same page this is all so much more than the wealthy slanting the playing field in their favor. American society, Western Society really is beset with levels of opulence and corruption unseen since the time of the robber barons in the latter part of the 19th century. As Mark pointed out there was tremendous movement on the rates as a result of what these big banks did. Even stealing on the fringes would have meant huge swings. This was so much more than that. And critically it was not perpetuated by a couple of rogue bankers, but appears to be systematic. Though the jury is still out, everything I have read seems indicate an industry wide fraud.

The biggest issue to me is that there is no consensus at any level for reform. Historically America has found ways to pull itself back from the brink, but now as Mr. Dylan might say, everything is broken.

After a generation of shameless, wanton corruption America entered into the Progressive Era in the 1890 or so and for 30 years reform was popular and expected. By my light we are nowhere near that sort of consensus and Americans can talk about politicians that will not compromise and do not legislate, but they must know, they simply must know, that they themselves are to blame as well. WW I changed the equation in terms of the expectation of reform, and for ten years after, until the depression, hedonism sort of became fashionable again, and reform was pushed to the back burner.

Cycles follow from there. The Depression is followed by the New Deal, then WW II, then the McCarthyite, socially comatose 50’s, then the 60’s Rock & Roll, Peace, Civil, Women, and Gay Rights movements. Then comes Reagan. In the 32 years since the social contract between the haves and the have nots has been torn to near complete separation. Make no mistake what is called conservatism today would have been intolerable to the public in 1968 when Nixon was elected, or 1980 with Reagan, or 1988 with Bush. Through that entire time the only (short-lived) effort at reform was in response to the venal crimes of Richard Nixon. But in the current environment we operate in where a grass roots movement, The Tea Party, springs up in response to perceived corruption and is quickly swallowed up by the most corrupt political and business entities in the country, the Koch brothers and Americans for Prosperity, reform in today’s lexicon is nearly non-existent.

Democrats in general and the President in particular are not really part of any solution and the Affordable Car Act, notwithstanding, this presidency has been a pale shadow of anything that could be considered Progressive. I believe there are two reasons for this. The first is money. For all the talk about being outspent the President and the Dems will likely raise close to two billion dollars. That money flows because it wants something. And what that something is sure not programs to aid the poor, sick and hungry among us.  Capital at that level is the enemy of reform, everyone knows it. Liberals and Dems that hold onto the hope that our billionaire is better than theirs are grasping a thin reed.

The second reason that Obama’s call for Hope and Change have amounted to so much less is a flaw in the president himself. While he has been hamstrung by a recalcitrant Congress bent on protecting the perks of their obscenely rich benefactors at almost any cost, the President made a huge miscalculation early on and that was that he could make a deal with the devil if he just talked nice to the old fiend. The President (by his own admission this past week) has done a poor job of explaining the what and whys of his policy proposals and in case after case after case has refused to take on the conservative establishment.

High gas prices made the raising of CAFÉ  standards palatable, but unless there is a dramatic shift in a potential second term the Obama presidency will make little movement on global warming and this will be a huge opportunity lost. Wall Street reforms are stalled and hundreds of regulations growing from Dodd-Frank are yet to be written. Of most immediate urgency the stimulus plans that he has put forth have been lackluster and ineffective. Blame it on Congress, sure, but the president politically has been outmaneuvered. What I wouldn’t give to if Obama had cajones comparable to either of the Clinton’s.  

But even with my deep frustration with the President the bigger issue it seems to me is the American people who do not care for or about reform. Political leaders respond to the demands of the people, since Egyptian times they always have and they always will. Americans vote against their interests all the time. The South, with their serial social problems, poor education, healthcare, and the lowest standard of living (nine of the bottom ten in median income) votes reliably Republican. This is true even in the states of the deep, deep south with HUGE blocks of African American voters. Ironically, if the Tea Party movement, ugly though it was in some ways, had remained independent and so viable, and the Occupy movement and retained more of its muscularity before the winter and changing police tactics softened its bite, reform might have been possible. The point is that there was some consensus, right and left for reform, and some real anger, so change is possible.

When?  I don’t know. For now, at least in my opinion we are locked in between a charade of reform, which isn’t really anything like it, and total “catastrophe” as Dr. West called it last week. It is an easy choice as to whether or not to vote for this President over his rich, spoiled, arrogant and disconnected opponent. Just don’t have any illusions that this represents progressive change. Sadly, at least based on the first time it does not. IF I am wrong and freed from running for a second term the President really goes after entrenched, and now nearly omnipotent power, no one will be happier than me.

No comments:

Post a Comment